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Demand for resale flats since the end of the Circuit Breaker has pushed prices and sales to new highs. According to the HDB Price Index in Q2 2021, resale flat prices climbed 3% from Q1 2021, growing for the fifth consecutive quarter since Q2 2020. Prices were also 11% higher compared to a year ago.
In fact, 2021 has already seen a record of million-dollar HDB resale flats transactions, with 159 at the time of writing. This figure has already surpassed the 82 recorded in the entire 2020, which was the previous record.
While these are mostly exclusive in mature estates, experts say that we could soon see million-dollar flats in non-mature estates by next year based on pricing trends. For example, prices of 5-room flats in non-mature estates have grown by 11% in Q1 2021 compared to a year ago, which is faster than the 6.9% in mature estates.
So with resale prices on the uptrend, will we see more million-dollar flats in non-mature estates?
Where Are Million-Dollar HDB Flats Located?
At the time of writing, there have been 422 million-dollar HDB flats transacted since 2012. Apart from an executive apartment in Hougang that was sold for $1 million in 2018, the remaining 12 are located in mature estates, according to official data from data.gov.sg:
Estate
No. of million-dollar flats
Ang Mo Kio
3
Bishan
85
Bukit Merah
38
Bukit Timah
21
Central Area
135
Clementi
14
Geylang
1
Hougang
1
Kallang/Whampoa
37
Serangoon
5
Toa Payoh
46
Queenstown
67
Data as at 13 September 2021
Which Estates Have Flats That Are Trending Towards $1 Million?
Million-dollar HDB flats have so far happened exclusively in the 11 estates above, but with resale flat prices rising across the island, will we see million-dollar flats in other HDB estates soon?
Taking a look at official data from data.gov.org, below is the list of flats that have transacted from $850,000 to below $1 million so far this year:
Town
Flat type
Street name
Floor area (sqm)
Flat model
Lease commence date
Resale price
BUKIT BATOK
EXECUTIVE
BT BATOK ST 25
144
Apartment
1997
968000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
LENGKONG TIGA
146
Maisonette
1989
968000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE TER
120
Standard
1975
950000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE DR
120
Standard
1977
943000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE TER
117
Standard
1975
938000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
LENGKONG TIGA
146
Maisonette
1989
920000
TAMPINES
MULTI-GENERATION
TAMPINES ST 42
166
Multi Generation
1987
920000
TAMPINES
EXECUTIVE
TAMPINES ST 82
145
Apartment
1995
915000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
BEDOK STH AVE 2
143
Apartment
1995
915000
PUNGGOL
5 ROOM
PUNGGOL PL
147
Premium Apartment Loft
2012
910000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
BEDOK STH AVE 2
142
Apartment
1993
909000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
BEDOK STH AVE 2
143
Apartment
1995
900000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE CRES
126
Standard
1975
900000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE DR
120
Standard
1977
900000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE DR
120
Standard
1977
895000
TAMPINES
EXECUTIVE
TAMPINES ST 82
148
Apartment
1995
891888
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
LENGKONG TIGA
154
Maisonette
1989
890000
CHOA CHU KANG
EXECUTIVE
CHOA CHU KANG ST 64
182
Premium Maisonette
1998
890000
TAMPINES
EXECUTIVE
TAMPINES ST 21
150
Maisonette
1984
890000
TAMPINES
5 ROOM
TAMPINES CTRL 8
109
DBSS
2014
888888
JURONG EAST
EXECUTIVE
TOH GUAN RD
145
Maisonette
1998
885000
JURONG EAST
EXECUTIVE
JURONG EAST ST 21
143
Maisonette
1998
885000
TAMPINES
EXECUTIVE
TAMPINES AVE 5
146
Maisonette
1989
883000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE DR
122
Standard
1977
880000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
LENGKONG TIGA
149
Maisonette
1989
880000
BUKIT BATOK
EXECUTIVE
BT BATOK ST 25
165
Maisonette
1997
880000
BEDOK
5 ROOM
BEDOK RESERVOIR CRES
105
DBSS
2014
880000
TAMPINES
EXECUTIVE
TAMPINES AVE 5
145
Apartment
1985
880000
BUKIT BATOK
EXECUTIVE
BT BATOK ST 25
165
Maisonette
1997
878000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
LENGKONG TIGA
150
Maisonette
1989
875000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
LENGKONG TIGA
146
Maisonette
1989
875000
PASIR RIS
EXECUTIVE
PASIR RIS DR 6
153
Maisonette
1989
870000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE TER
120
Standard
1975
868888
JURONG EAST
EXECUTIVE
TOH GUAN RD
145
Maisonette
1998
868000
YISHUN
EXECUTIVE
YISHUN AVE 4
181
Apartment
1992
868000
TAMPINES
MULTI-GENERATION
TAMPINES ST 42
166
Multi Generation
1987
865000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE TER
122
Standard
1975
865000
TAMPINES
EXECUTIVE
TAMPINES ST 21
148
Maisonette
1984
863000
PASIR RIS
EXECUTIVE
PASIR RIS ST 51
148
Maisonette
1992
860800
YISHUN
MULTI-GENERATION
YISHUN AVE 4
179
Multi Generation
1987
860000
TAMPINES
MULTI-GENERATION
TAMPINES ST 42
166
Multi Generation
1987
860000
YISHUN
MULTI-GENERATION
YISHUN ST 61
171
Multi Generation
1987
860000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
BEDOK STH AVE 2
147
Apartment
1993
860000
WOODLANDS
EXECUTIVE
WOODLANDS AVE 1
189
Apartment
1994
860000
TAMPINES
5 ROOM
TAMPINES CTRL 8
109
DBSS
2014
859000
BUKIT PANJANG
EXECUTIVE
JELEBU RD
125
Premium Apartment
2003
858888
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE TER
120
Standard
1975
858000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
BEDOK RESERVOIR RD
144
Apartment
1993
858000
PASIR RIS
5 ROOM
PASIR RIS DR 1
105
DBSS
2015
858000
TAMPINES
EXECUTIVE
TAMPINES ST 82
147
Apartment
1995
855000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE CRES
126
Standard
1975
855000
JURONG EAST
EXECUTIVE
JURONG EAST ST 21
144
Apartment
1998
855000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
BEDOK RESERVOIR RD
142
Apartment
1984
855000
BEDOK
5 ROOM
BEDOK CTRL
112
Improved
2010
853000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE TER
117
Standard
1975
853000
JURONG EAST
EXECUTIVE
JURONG EAST ST 21
145
Maisonette
1998
850000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE TER
120
Standard
1975
850000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
CHAI CHEE AVE
145
Apartment
1996
850000
BUKIT PANJANG
EXECUTIVE
JELAPANG RD
142
Maisonette
1999
850000
BEDOK
EXECUTIVE
BEDOK RESERVOIR RD
143
Apartment
1984
850000
JURONG EAST
EXECUTIVE
JURONG EAST ST 21
144
Maisonette
2000
850000
MARINE PARADE
5 ROOM
MARINE TER
120
Standard
1975
850000
TAMPINES
EXECUTIVE
TAMPINES ST 82
149
Apartment
1995
850000
JURONG EAST
EXECUTIVE
JURONG EAST ST 21
138
Maisonette
2000
850000
WOODLANDS
EXECUTIVE
WOODLANDS AVE 1
189
Apartment
1994
850000
WOODLANDS
EXECUTIVE
WOODLANDS ST 81
176
Apartment
1994
850000
The flats share these common characteristics:
They are close to current or upcoming amenities such as schools, MRT stations, malls, eateries
Aside from a few 5-room and DBSS flats, most are older flats ranging from 20 to 53 years old
Based on the table above, the flats are spread across these 11 estates:
Estate
No. of HDB flats transacted
Bedok
16
Bukit Batok
3
Bukit Panjang
2
Choa Chu Kang
1
Jurong East
7
Marine Parade
14
Pasir Ris
3
Punggol
1
Tampines
13
Woodlands
3
Yishun
3
A total of 66 flats have transacted from $850,000 to $968,000 so far this year. Of these, seven are in non-mature estates and four in mature estates.
Estates With The Highest Growth in Asking Prices
Are these trends an indication of the next estate(s) that will see a million-dollar flat? To get a better picture, we took the 11 estates above and looked at the number of listings with asking prices from $850,000 to below $1 million on PropertyGuru:
Estate
No. of listings from $850,000 to below $1 million in Q1 2021
No. of listings from $850,000 to below $1 million in Q2 2021
Quarter-over-quarter difference
Bedok
129
193
64
Bukit Batok
23
29
6
Bukit Panjang
5
19
14
Choa Chu Kang
3
5
2
Jurong East
77
83
6
Marine Parade
79
54
-25
Pasir Ris
29
45
16
Punggol
3
2
-1
Tampines
153
202
49
Woodlands
31
47
16
Yishun
67
72
5
Based on the table above, there was a significant jump in listings with asking prices from $850,000 to under $1 million in all but two estates (Marine Parade and Punggol). Bedok saw the highest increase in the number of listings, from 129 in Q1 2021 to 193 in Q2 2021. This was followed by Tampines (from 153 to 202), Woodlands from (31 to 47), Pasir Ris (from 29 to 45), and Bukit Panjang (from 5 to 19).
Conclusion
Based on resale flat transactions on data.gov, Bedok, Marine Parade, and Tampines are the top three estates with the most transactions from $850,000 to below $1 million so far this year.
Meanwhile, according to asking prices on PropertyGuru, Bedok, Tampines, and Woodlands had recorded the most listings from $850,000 to below $1 million from Q1 2021 to Q2 2021.
Therefore, it would seem it would appear that Bedok, Marine Parade, and Tampines are likely the next estates to see a million-dollar flat. As for the next non-mature estate to see a million-dollar flat, it could be in Bukit Batok, Bukit Panjang, or Woodlands.
The transformation of the former fire station will establish the site as “a key gateway for heritage and nature landmarks in the area, including Bukit Batok Nature Park, Bukit Timah Nature Reserve, and the Rail Corridor.